Aspirantskiy Vestnik PovolzhiyaAspirantskiy Vestnik Povolzhiya2072-23542410-3764Samara State Medical University3421110.17816/2072-2354.2019.19.3.104-108Research ArticlePossibility of the analysis of an outcome of conservative treatment of the acute urinary retention in patients with benign prostatic hyperplasiaZimichevAlexander А.<p>Doctor of Medical Sciences, Associate Professor, Urology Department</p>zimichew@mail.ruPikalovSergey M.<p>Urologist, Head the Urological Department</p>Serpik66@mail.ruKlimentyevaMarina S.<p>Urologist</p>m.s.klim@mail.ruGusevDenis O.<p>Urologist</p>gusevdo@rambler.ruAdilovAllahverdi Dylan oglu<p>Andrologist</p>k.mary96@mail.ruSamara State Medical UniversitySamara Regional Clinical Hospital named after V.D. SeredavinSamara Regional Clinical Hospital for War VeteransSamara State Clinical Hospital No. 8Orenburg State Clinical Hospital No. 128102019195-61041082805202028052020Copyright © 2020, Zimichev A.А., Pikalov S.M., Klimentyeva M.S., Gusev D.O., Adilov A.D.2020<p><strong><em>Actuality.</em></strong> The article studies the possibility of the conservative treatment of acute urinary retention in patients with benign prostatic hyperplasia.</p>
<p><strong><em>The purpose</em></strong> of this study is to improve the results of treatment of patients with acute urinary retention by revealing a complex of factors influencing the prognosis and treatment modalities.</p>
<p><strong><em>Materials and methods.</em></strong> Assessment of the prediction of the response to the treatment was performed by means of the study of 280 patients hospitalized in the urology department No. 8 within 20122015. A retrospective analysis of the treatment outcomes has been performed.</p>
<p><strong><em>Results and conclusions.</em></strong> Correlation and regression analysis reveals a complex of the most significant independent factors that influence the outcome of conservative treatment of acute urinary retention in case of benign prostatic hyperplasia. These factors can be used as the basis for a mathematical model for predicting the outcome of conservative treatment of acute urinary retention during BPH. A computer program to estimate the prognosis of life of patients has been developed. This program allows to develop the best treatment modality for a particular patient.</p>acute urinary retentionbenign prostatic hyperplasiacorrelation and regression analysisprognosisострая задержка мочеиспусканиядоброкачественная гиперплазия предстательной железыкорреляционно-регрессионный анализпрогноз[Закс Л. Статистическое оценивание / Пер. с нем. В.Н. Варыгина; под ред. Ю.П. Адлера, В.Г. Горского. – М.: Статистика, 1976. – 598 с. [Sachs L. Statistische Auswertungsmethoden. Translated from German V.N. Varygin; ed. by Yu.P. Adler, V.G. Gorskiy. Moscow: Statistika; 1976. 598 р. (In Russ.)].][Зимичев А.А., Пряничникова М.Б., Маклаков В.Н. Возможности определения исхода рака мочевого пузыря // Урология. – 2009. – № 3. – С. 52–54. [Zimichev AA, Pryanichnikova MB, Maklakov VN. Cancer of the urinary bladder: prognosis of the outcome. Urologiia. 2009;(3):52-54. (In Russ.)]][Мацкевич И.П., Свирид Г.П., Булдык Г.М. Сборник задач и упражнений по высшей математике. Теория вероятностей и математическая статистика: учебное пособие для экономических специальностей вузов. – Минск: Вышэйшая школа, 1996. – 318 с. [Mackevich IP, Svirid GP, Buldyk GM. Sbornik zadach i uprazhneniy po vysshey matematike. Teoriya veroyatnostey i matematicheskaya statistika: uchebnoye posobiye dlya ekonomicheskikh spetsial’nostey vuzov. Minsk: Vysheyshaya shkola; 1996. 318 р. (In Russ.)]][Фёрстер Э., Рёнц Б. Методы корреляционного и регрессионного анализа: руководство для экономистов / пер. с нем. В.М. Ивановой. – М.: Финансы и статистика, 1983. – 302 с. [Förster E, Rönts B. Methoden der Korrelations- und Regressionsanalуse. Ein Leitfaden für Ökonomen. Berlin: Verlag Die Wirtschaft, 1979. (In German)]][Choong S, Emberton M. Acute urinary retention. BJU Int. 2000;85(2):186-201. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1464-410x.2000.00409.x.][Elhilali M, Vallancien G, Emberton M, et al. Management of acute urinary retention (AUR) in patients with BPH. A worldwide comparison. Eur Urology. 2004;3(2):59. https://doi.org/10.1016/s1569-9056(04)90226-6.][Thomas K, Oades G, Taylor-Hay C, Kirby RS. Acute urinary retention: what is the impact on patients’ quality of life? BJU Int. 2005;95(1):72-76. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1464-410X.2004.05254.x.]